There is a general trend by WAPDA
to select dam sites at random without caring for Capacity-inflow ratio to have long life span, unlike the Kalabagh
Dam. WAPDA selects dam sites on political grounds that becomes controversial
besides problematic. After committing blunders, WAPDA sticks to it, creating
status quo indefinitely like as of Kalabagh. A dam site on a river should be
given priority that should have multipurpose functions with long life span.
Each dam on the upstream of a river supports the dam on the downstream by prolonging
its life span besides producing hydropower, controlling floods and silt, and
help proper development.
WAPDA selects faulty dam sites, ignoring
their multipurpose merits, like in case of Akhori, the indirect reservoir off
the natural channel. Akhori is almost single purpose off-channel storage dam. This
shows WAPDA has no vision to find dam sites on the mighty Indus. Therefore the
country is deprived of many functions of direct reservoir. Indirect Reservoir
has no silt control function. Indirect reservoir is unable to mitigate floods
like the direct reservoir. Basically Akhori is not a power project. It’s a
water project. We direly need multipurpose power project to remove crippling
load shedding and control flood. There is therefore dire need of direct storage
dams on the Indus like the 35 maf unique
Katzarah Dam followed by Raised Fateh Barrage as the genuine substitute for
Kakabagh Dam.
Please note, there are no dam sites on Kabul River, Jehlum River and Chenab River.
Indus is the only river that is the life
line of Pakistan and the 35 maf Katzarah Dam is the key to all of Water, Power,
Silt, and Floods problems. Indus River multipurpose potentials must be
given top priority by its early construction to remove shortage of power, and
water, besides controlling crippling load shedding and flood havoc as of 2010
and control silt. Pakistan is hard hit by climate change. Indirect reservoirs
should be given the last priority if found feasible. I warn of floods like of
2010. Floods will visit again and again as climate change is severe and
unpredictable.
WAPDA may note that Dr Pieter
Lieftnic Head of the World Bank Team in his report in three volumes “Water and
Power Resources of West Pakistan” volume I page 269 and 292, rejected Akhori
Dam due to serious foundation problems and, other considerations. As such,
Akhori Dam was superseded by Gariala Dam.
Akhori Dam was proposed on Haro
River, with a height of 250 feet, creating a gross storage of 3.6 maf, and live
storage of 3.3 maf. This was proposed fearing that Tarbela Reservoir will silt
up soon as it has poor capacity-inflow
ratio. The length of Akhori Dam would be 15,800 feet. Dr Pieter Lieftnick
report Volume I, page 269 states that “inordinate amount of earth moving
would be involved and that serious foundation problems would be encountered at
each site”. Cut-off grouting would be required along the axis of Sanjwal
Dam, the embankment of which would be 12.5 miles long and extensive
treatment would be required at Akhori. In view of this and other
considerations, Akhori project was deemed less favorable than Gariala”,
page 269. Dr Lieftnick report says, “Akhori is superseded by Gariala”.(Page
292).
In spite of all these serious faults WAPDA selects the next dam at Akhori with a height
of 420 feet against the original height of 250 feet to bring early doom of
water and power- a blow that an enemy will not inflict.
Ignoring all these serious
drawbacks WAPDA is going ahead with Akhori Dam with a raised height of 420 feet against 250 feet. This shows
political influence. Sindh will not agree to Akhori Dam, specially for its
location in Punjab in view of mistrust already prevailing. Besides this, water
diversion for Akhori Dam and water diversion for Ghazi Barotha Channel will render Indus River reach from Ghazi
Barotha to Attock absolutely dry. The people on the downstream will seriously
suffer. River water rights cannot be denied to the area of NWFP by diverting
the river flow in this reach.
Dr Pieter Lieftnick report pages
265 and 266 reports that,
“In recognition of high rate of
depletion of storage capacity at Tarbela, various proposals have been put
forward by the Pakistan authorities for auxiliary (side-valley storage)
reservoirs on the Haro and Soan Rivers which would be filled by the diversion
of the Indus water through canals from the Siren Arm of Tarbela Reservoir. A
study of the proposal, however, suggests that the cost of dams considered in
connection with the cost of conveyance canals, would make construction of
side-valley storage project as expensive, than as reservoirs on the main stem
of the Indus”.
This means that only the cost of
conveyance of water system will be equal to the cost of dam. The
raised Akhori Dam will cost three
times more than a dam on the main stem of the Indus River besides many other
complications. Dr Lieftnick reports:
“For any such undertaking,
Tarbela would have to be built to elevation 1565 feet in order to facilitate
the transference of water across the divide. Also because diversion would
be possible only when Tarbela Reservoir might be full or nearly full, it
would be necessary to fill Tarbela as soon as possible each flood season.”
page 266. Will rise in elevation of
Tarbela by 15 feet will be possible? Raising by 15 feet will submerge vast
area.
“A canal with a capacity of 76000 cusecs with
ancillary structures including dams, siphons, aqueducts, bridges and culverts
would be constructed from the Siren Arm of Tarbela Reservoir to Jabba Kas
River, a tributary of Haro River for storage at Sanjwal Akhori site” page 266.
“The operation of the conveyance would be complicated by the fact that it
will be empty for some nine months in each year. Maintenance cost would particularly
be heavy”. Page 268.
Moreover, Akhori is single purpose storage dam
with almost no power or nominal power component to generate electricity. There
is dire need for hydropower, therefore multipurpose dams producing hydropower
should first be built on the main stem of the Indus River rather indulging in
complicated, single purpose storage dams on side-valley. There is news in
today’s paper, dated 29th June, 2011 wherein WAPDA chairman said
that load shedding would continue till 2018 and that power demand by the year
2030 would be 130,000 MW.
I believe, load shedding would
continue till Katzarah Dam, Basha Dam,
Raised Fateh Barrage, Guroh Dop Dam and Mirkhani dams are built. Bunji Dam and
Dasu Dams are also vital. It is senseless to propose off channel Akhori and
call it alternative to Kalabagh. The alternative to Kalabagh is Raised Fateh
Barrage on the Indus. The present shortage of power is a backlog of the
past 46 years for not building any multipurpose dam. The concerned authorities
were busy in Kalabagh controversy, therefore status quo in dam construction
prevailed for (36+10)=46 years. This resulted in water shortage, crippling
load shedding and devastating floods of 2010. Now Akhori will replace Kalabagh
in controversy.
It is surprising no one
critically studied the Kalabagh consultants report for its infeasible hydraulic
design of 50 days restricted mid-level silt sluicing to evacuate silt. KBD
consultants recommended 100 days unrestricted low level silt sluicing.
Exactly is the case of Akhori Dam, as no one studied Dr Pieter Lieftnick report,
who rejected Akhori Dam due to serious foundation problem. Refer to The Water and Power Resources of
West Pakistan.
It is shocking to know that Dr Pieter Lieftnick rejected Akhori Dam on
sound technical grounds even then
WAPDA appointed local consultant to prepare a fresh feasibility report for a
greater height of Akhori Dam to store more water and generate little power. The new proposal for Akhori is that the
height of the dam is raised from 250 feet to 420 feet, to create 7.0 maf of
storage reservoir in place of 3.6 maf. The length of the dam with high embankments would increase to 25,000 feet.
To fill the originally proposed reservoir of 3.6 maf, a canal with 76000
cusecs was required. It is surprising to note that Akhori Dam that is
infeasible due to serious foundation problems for a height of 250 feet, how can
it be feasible for a height of 420 feet, to create 7.0 maf storage? The new
proposal will require a conveyance canal with a discharge of 150,000 cusecs to
fill it. Will that much water be possible to divert in two to three months
time? Will a channel virtually equivalent to a river waterway be possible to
built to convey water? What would be the consequences of such diversion on
Ghazi-Barotha Power generation, and on the water rights of the downstream
people in NWFP? The cost of project would be unbearable. The channel would
remain dry for 9 to 10 months a year with heavy maintenance cost.
Akhori will follow the example of failures of first Kachi canal, drainage
projects of SCARPs, NDP, and selecting controversial project of KBD.
I believe, it may not be possible to fill the reservoir of 7.0 maf
storage capacity during the monsoon. Moreover, elevation of 1565 feet for the diversion of water may not be able to maintain for three
continuous months of monsoon period.
The construction of single purpose side-valley reservoirs should be the
last option when all the direct reservoirs on the Indus are silt up. First,
direct reservoirs should be built as they are multipurpose, cheap and easy to
build. When all direct storage sites are exhausted, then consider the
side-valley storage. The side-valley reservoirs are three to four times more
costly than direct reservoirs. Moreover, side-valley projects are
problematic.
The most difficult and alarming aspect of side-valley storage is a condition that Tarbela reservoir
should be raised by 15 feet (1550+15) = 1565 feet for the transference of water
It is yet to be examined, if it is
technically, and environmentally feasible to raise the height of Tarbela Dam by
15 feet. Moreover, the consequences of raised Tarbela Dam shall have to be
examined, how much area is going to be submerged under the raised reservoir? How
many people would be displaced? The cost of compensation may be worked out. The
raising of Tarbela Dam is yet another technical hurdle of the side-valley
storage besides its cost.
Copy to,
Secretary
Water and Power, Government of
Pakistan, Islamabad
It
is requested that WAPDA may be asked if they have read Dr Peter Lieftnick
report on Akhori Dam that it is superseded by Gariala Dam and that Akhori has
serious foundation problems. Moreover, it requires raising the height of
Tarbela Dam by 15 feet to elevation 1565 feet for the diversion of water from
Tarbela Reservoir to fill Akhori. Will it be possible to raise the height of
Tarbela Dam? How much area will it inundate? Will it be possible to build a dam
with a height 420 feet when foundation for a dam with 250 encounters serious
foundation problems? Has WAPDA studied the effects of diversion of about
150,000 cusecs of water on power generation of Tarbela Dam and Ghazi Barotha
power channel? Will it be possible to constantly maintain elevation of about
1565? Akhori is a single purpose dam. We need multipurpose dam to generate hydropower.
Please
arrange study of the adverse effects of single purpose Akhori Dam that suffers
from many problems as reported by Dr Pieter Lieftnic Head of the World Bank
Team to Pakistan who investigated dam sites and other water and power
developments schemes. Pakistan cannot afford to build infeasible and
controversial dams and waste time. Multipurpose dams must be planned on
technical merits to have long life span, control floods and silt and generate
power.
Chairman
IRSA Government of Pakistan. The
authority is created for regulating and monitoring the distribution of water
resources of the Indus River and to provide for matters connected therewith and
ancillary thereto. IRSA has to play the role of a monitor for monitoring
the water resources in selecting long life storage dam sites, as it is a
connected and ancillary matter. This is what the IRSA Act Preamble reveals.
Pakistan
is woefully unprepared for new floods.
The 2010 devastating floods can be repeated any time and many times. I
therefore suggest building of the 35-maf
multipurpose Katzarah dam as Katzarah will control floods in the Indus, and
the 8.5 maf multipurpose dam at Guroh Dop on Panjkora River to control
floods in Kabul River. There is no remedy to control floods other than the
combination of the two dams as proposed. Akhori is out of line and irrelevant
under this situation.
The real alternative to Kalabagh Dam is
the Raised Fateh Barrage as already suggested by me and not Akhori Dam rejected
by Dr Pieter Leiftnic Head of the World Bank Team specially appointed to
identify and investigate dams sites indicating their pre-feasibilities besides
Water Resources Development Schemes. .
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