The coming Food crises

The Problems:                                

The International Food Policy Research Institute has warned, classifying Pakistan as a State that faces “serious hunger threat”. Pakistan faces breaking problems due to colossal Water Mismanagement in spite of abundant water and excellent land. About 45 to 50 maf of water is wasted due to seepage, and incompatibility of the 150 years old canal irrigation system with present crop water needs. The old canal irrigation system running a fixed discharge for low cropping intensity has become incompatible to meet water requirements of higher cropping intensities and cropping pattern. It needs Water Management and canal system modernization, including replacement of water courses by pipe supply.

 Pakistan wastes about 35 maf of water in floods on the average. It means we are wasting about 80 maf of water that is equal 13 times the storage capacity of Basha Dam. The Canal Irrigation System needs modernization to avoid all wastages. After building Katzarah and Basha Dams, the 14 miles wide Indus River bed, needs channelization to save water and reclaim land, beside preventing theft of water from the Indus River in Sindh and Punjab. 

The terrible wastage of water is not realized by the closed mind attitude of WAPDA. WAPDA never paid attention to Water Management to save huge quantity of water wasted and remove water shortage. The breaking problems that will cause hunger are shortage of Water and Power, rapid silting of reservoirs, devastating super Floods as of 2010, crippling load shedding, wasteful, incompatible and obsolete Canal Irrigation System, and food insecurity to cause hunger, and revolution, increasing salinity and sodicity in the Indus basin. The salinity problem is due to lack of Drainage system, a missing vital component of Irrigation. WAPDA wrongly conceived and executed SCARPs and NDP, the two mega drainage schemes, that badly failed as WAPDA did not know the technical definition of drainage of saline land. The increasing salinity will almost make the Indus basin infertile in about 40 years. President F.M. Mohammad Ayub Khan declared salinity as enemy number one of Pakistan. There is no use of water if lands get infertile due to salinity.

 Moreover, there is unchecked encroachments on natural drains in the country in violation of the Canal and Drainage Act that turned Sindh as the Drainage Bowl of the country. There is no spinal drain with defined waterway to quickly drain rain and flood water to sea but it flows in sheet-form very slowly standing for months.

Besides these problems, huge quantity of floodwater is wasted to sea damaging lands en-route because of no dam built on the Indus for 47 years (37+10). This negligence by WAPDA resulted in no increase in cropping area for the last many decades to meet ever increasing food requirements. This lapse is leading to hunger threat. The cultivable area can easily be increased more than 100 per cent including the entire Kachi plain of Baluchistan.

 The 22 per cent of Pakistan devastation by 2010 floods, and the crippling load shedding, has occurred for not building Katzarah and Guroh Dop dams by WAPDA since I discovered them and reported in early 1962. WAPDA stubbornly stuck to Kalabagh Dam creating 47 years long status quo in dam building. This created breaking problems including food.

Sindh is destroyed by rains in 2011 because there is no spinal drain and the drainage system. The natural drainage system is encroached and occupied by the people in violation of the Canal and Drainage Act. The encroachments on the huge drains in Sindh like Paran and Hakro are examples. Therefore flood and rainwater flow in sheet form, and is retained for months destroying crop land. Again, this will create food crises.

Three Savior Dams not known to WAPDA provides solution to many issues

Pakistan is faced with do or die situation. The rescue to water and power problems lies in 35-maf unique Katzarah Dam, the multipurpose 8.5 maf Guroh Dop Dam, and in a unique Raised Barrage, all the three initiated and discovered by me.

The unique raised barrage-cum-dam at the end of the Indus River valley

 The raised barrage is a short term relief project to ease water and power shortage. It is an excellent and feasible substitute for the controversial and technically infeasible Kalabagh Dam. The raised barrage on low dam will not silt. It will produce 2000 MW to 6000 MW of hydropower on run-of-the-river and create a reservoir of more than 3 maf to be repeatedly filled as the river flow at this point is about 93 maf. The reservoir will be confined to the Indus River valley few miles short of Attock gorge. This project does not involve land acquisition, land compensation and population displacement. Power houses would be located on both banks of the Indus, distributing royalty equally between Punjab and KP. The Possibility to irrigate the Laki Marwat area from the Lake may be investigated. The raised barrage project would serve as balancing reservoir if more power generation is required at Tarbela without wasting irrigation water. It will be an excellent water regulating reservoir to meet Rabi crop water requirements. Sindh and Baluchistan would benefit to get water during keen demand period. The raised will be completed with-in 3 years at one-sixth cost of Kalabagh Dam. It is a short to medium period hydropower generation project to be followed by Katzarah and Guroh Dop Dams. The prosperity of Pakistan including food security lies in the immediate implementation of these three projects by any means. I would call these 3 dams as the Three Savior dams of Pakistan.

Promulgation of Law in the National Assembly to build

the Three Savior Dams

A Law in an emergency situation may be passed in the National Assembly to implement the Three Savior Dams by what-ever means and measures adopted to avoid hunger and power riots due to power shortage to protect Pakistan from the incoming bloody revolution. This is more serious for us than the mercenary war on terror. These three savior dams of Pakistan will protect Pakistan against hunger. It will protect Pakistan, against super floods like of 2010, and heavy rains of 2011, make available hydropower, remove shortage of water and power, remove crippling load shedding, boost food production, control silting of reservoirs and increase life of reservoirs including increase in the life of Basha Dam from about 80 years to 800 years. It will meet the 22 maf storage demand of IRSA to implement Water Accord. It will save the world largest Canal irrigation system going non-perennial or run-of-the-river system when India diverts Rabi supplies. Beside this, there is no mega storage reservoir on the Indus after the silting of the existing reservoirs including Basha Dam. IRSA demand of 22 maf of water cannot be met without Katzarah Dam.

The huge demand of 22 maf of storage cannot be met because there is no dam site on Kabul river in Pakistan, no dam sites on Jehlum and Chenab Rivers and no mega storage on the Indus, except Basha and Katzarah. This means Pakistan has no mega storage dam sites besides Basha and Katzarah. The Bunji Dam, the Dassu Dam and the Munda Dam are power dams with nominal storage capacity. The off channel Akhori Dam is declared as infeasible by Dr Pieter Leiftnick in 1968 but WAPDA sticks to the infeasible project. Kalabagh Dam is made politically controversial by WAPDA, and technically controversial by the Kalabagh Dam Consultants who did not agree to the wrong hydraulic design of restricted mid-level silt sluicing imposed by WAPDA in the wrong TOR on the Consultants. Moreover, Kalabagh Dam will produce poor hydropower generation due to wrong hydraulic design therefore WAPDA directed the Consultants to provide compensatory installation of 2000 MW of Thermal power plant in support of hydropower, that is mockery of professional planning. Those who recommend Kalabagh, Akhori and Munda Dams have no knowledge of their feasibility status, and their multipurpose functions, and are unaware of the three Savior dams of Pakistan. A 250 feet high Akhori Dam is declared infeasible by Dr Pieter Lieftnick in1968 due to weak foundation and for many other reasons. It also involves raising Tarbela Dam by 15 feet.

Indian Water aggression to control Rabi flows of the Indus, Jehlum, and Chanab Rivers to turn Indus Basin Irrigation System as non-perennial

Refer to US Senator John Kerry report that “India has acquired the ability to store enough water to limit the supply of water to Pakistan at critical moments in the growing season”. John Kerry has said, India built 32 dams where as other reports say 81 dams. Considering only 32 dams on our rivers, India would approximately usurp by holding at least 30 maf of our live storage, and about 10 maf of dead storage. This will have devastating effect on Rabi crop in Pakistan as our Rabi water requirements are about 36 maf. This means Chenab and Jehlum Rivers flow to Pakistan would almost be dry. Rabi and early Kharif crops would totally suffer as we have no storage to meet water requirements for Rabi crop. India also proposed to build 12 dams on Kabul River.  Katzarah Dam is the only solution to remove Rabi water crisis, and meet this devastating challenge to avoid famine and hunger.

 Pakistan Indus Waters Commissioner was unaware while India built 32 dams if not 81. There were no efforts to watch Indian activities for years. It is vital that the Indus Waters Commissioner head quarter should be shifted to Islamabad for a watch by the Ministry. The damage is done by India, but damage done, and damage yet to be done, would be by WAPDA by recommending infeasible Kalabagh, infeasible Akhori and power Dam Munda. Kalabagh and Akhori are infeasible dams. They are not the solution. Munda is single purpose power dam. Anybody who wants to know and seek advice should come to me. I give open invitation to all engineers in national interest for preparing a plan and policy for optimum development of water and hydropower. WAPDA is warned not to commit blunder after blunder to create crises after crises and now the nation faces hunger threat as reported by International organization.

 The Ministry should ask WAPDA to reply to these crisis creating issues

Can WAPDA advise the Government where to create 22 maf of storage water demanded by IRSA to implement Water Accord and remove acute shortage of water and hydropower? Let WAPDA name the dams with storage capacities, their life spans and feasibility status besides their functions. Has WAPDA any plan to control the rapid silting of reservoirs as it is feared the Indus basin irrigation system may turn non-perennial with-in 80 years due to silting of all reservoirs? Has WAPDA any drainage plan to save the Indus basin from increasing salinity and sodicity due one million small tube wells injecting about 350 million tons of injurious salt from the groundwater drainage effluent in to the fertile lands each year? The use of saline drainage effluent for irrigation is prohibited under the drainage Act but WAPDA did not object to this practice and failed to provide fresh water. Has WAPDA any Water shed Management plan to control silt in the Indus River. The lands in the Indus basin are turning saline and saline sodic gradually and invisibly. This would render the Indus basin infertile and cause famine and hunger. It is surprising Why WAPDA failed to locate the multipurpose Guroh Dop Dam lying only 7 miles upstream of the single purpose Munda Dam that is only meant for hydropower generation?                  

           

Please refer to the daily DAWN dated September 23, 2011, under the title “15000                                                                               MW Dam shelved by WAPDA”. The shelving of Katzarah by WAPDA shows its obstinacy in spite of no storage dam sites in Pakistan to support Irrigation System to produce food except Basha Dam and Katzarah Dam. WAPDA has ignored the unique and multipurpose 35 maf Katzarah Dam for petty environmental reason that some area would be submerged. Please note that Basha will silt up with in 80 years then there would be no storage dam site in Pakistan to support the Indus basin Irrigation system. WAPDA must indicate which dams are proposed to be included in its vision programme? It is a matter of life and death. The water situation would not improve even after the construction of Basha Dam as the existing reservoirs gross storage would silt up by 7.0 maf. Basha storage is only 6.0 maf. Therefore the building of 35-maf Katzarah is unavoidable. It is in fact the Savior dam of Pakistan.

It seems WAPDA has no foresight to foresee all this. It only knows to create controversies, like in Kalabagh Dam and now in the unique Katzarah Dam-- the “savior dam of Pakistan”. Katzarah Dam is recommended by Nisar Memon Parliamentry Committee and by AGN Abbassi Technical Committee besides the Government of Sindh that asked for Katzarah Dam construction. Refer to The News dated June 30, 2009. It appears there is no one to supervise WAPDA working that ruined the country due to its inefficiency and lack of planning of technically sound projects.

In spite of enough water and excellent fertile land, Pakistan is among the most hungry nations. The International Food Policy Research Institute fired warning shot at Pakistan, classifying it as a state that faces “serious hunger threat”. The institute said Pakistan is the only one country in the world that does not have any Federal body dealing with food issues. It said food security is not an exclusively agriculture phenomenon. It further said Pakistan needs 500,000 tons additional wheat every year to feed its ever-increasing population. It is surprising that the cropping area has been stuck with no increase in the last many decades. Pakistan can increase cultivable area by 100 per cent if Katzarah Dam is built. This dam will irrigate the vast Kachi plain of Baluchistan. WAPDA proved technically incapable as it unsuccessfully and wrongly executed Kachi canal alignment two times.

   

Due to shortage of funds, it may be considered to postpone the construction of Munda Dam and Basha Dam and go first for building the long term Katzarah Dam and the short term Raised Barrage on emergency basis. This may be difficult but the situation demands it.

Single-minded WAPDA tries to create another controversy on Katzarah Dam to misguide the Government and create fears in the minds of the local people

WAPDA’s stubborn attitude in ignoring Katzarah Dam is anti development and non-professional as it has not pointed a single technical drawback in it. WAPDA is exploiting and using minor environmental matter to shelve the 35-maf Katzarah dam capable of producing 15,000 MW of hydropower. Moreover, Katzarah will act as Water shed Management Dam to prevent silt from the highly erodible soil of Skardu valley that rapidly depletes reservoirs due to silting. The Ministry of Water and Power is requested to make an inquiry why WAPDA initiated infeasible mega projects of drainage, storage, and canal that failed or are made controversial like KBD and now Katzarah. WAPDA would ruin the development of the country, cause hunger, famine, power riots and revolution. The ridiculous reasons given by WAPDA to shelve Katzarah Dam are as follows:

WAPDA said that Katzarah Dam if built would submerge population of Skardu, houses, shops, hospitals, schools, graveyard, mosques, shingrila Motel, 40 Kilometers road. It said, Katzarah Dam will have negative effect on Satpara Dam and on the archaeological sites, forts etc. The air strip will also come under water. All these are funny arguments to oppose Katzarah Dam. WAPDA ignored the unlimited benefits of the Savior Dam- like the unique Katzarah that solves all water, power, food, and sediment issues. The minor environmental aspect may be weighed with the colossal prosperity that Katzarah would bring besides giving protection against famine, hunger, flood devastation, and remove water and power shortage besides preventing the rapid silting of reservoirs and country wide power riots.

Looking to a dozen of water and power problems becoming more and more serious day by day, it becomes direly essential that Water Wing of WAPDA be shifted to Islamabad as did IRSA. WAPDA failed to work independently. WAPDA alone with one Member cannot solve these gigantic and complicated issues under a non professional Chairman. It needs a set up like IRSA. WAPDA needs close cooperation and coordination with IRSA who has 5 high ranking Members, the Planning Commission, the Ministry of Water and Power, Ministry of Agriculture, and other expertise in the field. Moreover, Chairman WAPDA, as per IRSA Act Section 4(9) is ex-officio Member IRSA. As such, he is required to be a Water Resources Engineer governing a huge professional organization. This is the reason to make him Member IRSA to contribute. The non-professional Chairman WAPDA never attended IRSA meetings that is in violation of the IRSA Act. All this shows governance failure. Moreover, corruption has diverted attention from professionalism to monetary gain.

It is not the duty of WAPDA to shelve a mega project as infeasible or feasible on its own. WAPDA duty is to investigate both technical as well as environmental aspects of the project. WAPDA has not investigated the technical aspects of the unique Katzarah Dam besides the other two savior dams. WAPDA is fanning minor environmental aspect, misguiding and befooling the people and the Government. It is for the Government to meet water and power needs of the country. It is for the Government to make decision on technical merits to build or not to build a dam. In case of Katzarah, WAPDA exaggerated the minor environmental aspect of the project. WAPDA is either unaware or shuts its eyes to the unique, multipurpose, numerous benefits of Katzarah Dam. These facts show WAPDA’s recommendation are one sided, wrong, and unreliable. It also shows professional dishonesty. WAPDA basically is a contracting agency and not planning agency. In case of KBD, WAPDA forced a wrong TOR on the Kalabagh Consultants that created political and technical controversies that destroyed Pakistan by a 47 years long status quo in not building dams that resulted in crippling load shedding and devastating floods of 2010. It will now cause food crises. The power crises may touch 9,000 MW short fall. Katzarah is the answer for removing these crisis.

 I hear, out of frustration some advocates are planning to approach the Supreme Court under Article 38 of the Constitution to take suitable action against Government organizations for failure to check floods, procure food, and generate power that caused crippling load shedding. The global Hunger index 2010 developed by the International Food Policy Research Institute declared Pakistan as a State that faces “serious hunger threat”. Pakistan has not developed its natural resources to produce food and generate power to end load shedding and remove the fear of hunger. It is the right time for the Government to declare the construction of the three Savior Dams and create a name in the history.

The Pivotal issue of Storage in IWT ignored by Pakistan

India built 32 dams to prevent Rabi supplies to Pakistan and Pakistan lost 7.0 maf of storage due to silting of Tarbela and Mangla Dams

The consequences would be turning the Indus Basin Irrigation System non-perennial

India brewing for water war by violating IWT and silting of reservoirs turned IWT inefficacious

Pakistan lethargically failed in watching India who freely violated the Indus Waters Treaty by building dozens of mega dams on all the three Western Rivers and their tributaries in occupied Kashmir. Pakistan is unaware how many storage dams India built in the past 45 years?

 This information is vital to know how much gross storage, live storage and dead storage India created on our Western Rivers in gross violation of the Indus Waters Treaty? According to newspapers, India built 81 to more than 100 dams. This information is neither confirmed nor denied. The negligence not to watch the implementation of the Indus Waters Treaty, not knowing even the numbers of dams is a crime against the nation, because it has deprived the nation of its water resource to produce food for the nation as canal irrigation system will become non-perennial for loss of Rabi storage. This negligence is an invitation to the enemy for absolute surrender. India took benefit of this negligence and built 32 dams as reported by Senator John Kerry in 45 years creating huge live storage.

India plans to stop Rabi water supplies to Pakistan to cause famine, death and genocde

According to Senator John Kerry report to the US Senate, India built 32 dams that include mega dams. The report said; “India has acquired the ability to store enough water to limit the supply of water to Pakistan at critical moment in the growing season”.

This fact is extremely dangerous and highly destructive for the Canal Irrigation System in the Indus Basin as Pakistan will not get water at critical moment in the growing season of Rabi. The Canal System will turn dry or non-perennial during the Rabi crop growing season and will not be able to produce food for the growing population. John Kerry factual statement to the Senate Committee of USA is indication that India acquired the ability to wage a silent water war on Pakistan as it has acquired the ability to store enough water to limit the supply of water to Pakistan at critical moment in the growing season. This violates the IWT. Similarly, India plans to build 12 dams on Kabul River for Afghanistan to stop Rabi flow to Pakistan from the Western side. It is two front assault on Pakistan to create water shortage. India is using water as a weapon of mass destruction against Pakistan for the purpose of genocide. India has acquired the means of genocide for which it violated the IWT. This must be brought to the notice of the Security Council by the Government of Pakistan before India stops Rabi flow.

Stoppage of Rabi water supplies will create famine, hunger and death of population. This is the worst form of genocide against a nation. This must be prevented to avoid war that will be destructive for both countries and may become World War III.

Atomic bombing on Japan killed 0.25 million people. In conventional wars, the number of casualties is only in few thousands but free nuclear water war would kill nearly 180 million people of Pakistan and one billion Indians. War on water is far more devastating than the war on terror. Making Pakistan dry, by holding its water, the source of its survival, is genocidal, and great crime on humanity, besides violation of the Treaty. The Government of Pakistan must report to the United Nations, the Security Council besides the International Court of Justice, as it may lead to nuclear conflict.

Wrong partition of India, splitting the hydrological unit between two countries

 All this dispute is created due to wrong partition of India. This is because the sources of water and the canal head works went to India in occupied Kashmir that belongs to Pakistan, but India captured the hydraulic source in Kashmir by force. India occupied Hydrabad, Junagarh and Manawadar states by force. Pakistan’s Indus basin has water rights for centuries. These water rights cannot be snatched because the country was wrongly partitioned. The partition should be redone by UN to defuse this matter as India will force famine on Pakistan. Let Pakistan raise the basic question of partition.

Excess storage by India violating the IWT rendering the Indus basin canal irrigation system non-parennial

Let us work out how much gross storage, live storage, and dead storage these 32 dams have created. As a Water Resources Engineer, and distinction holder in Dams and Reservoir  Engineering, and the discoverer of 12 mega dams in Pakistan while in-charge of Dams Investigation Division (1959 to 1962), I estimate that these 32 dams must have created gross storage of about 40 maf. Out of this, 30 maf would be live storage, and about 10 maf as dead storage. No one in Pakistan could foresee this basic and devastating pivotal, excessive storage.  This escaped their professional foresight, and intelligence. Pakistan must go to the court of law on the violation of this basic and pivotal matter of storage. This is because India is only allowed to create storage of 4.19 maf on run-of-the-river projects to produce hydropower. So far India violated the Treaty by creating excess storage of (30-4.19) = 25.81 maf. Many dams are still under construction including mega dams. This will create more storage to further aggravate the already critical situation by stopping the supply of water at the critical moment when water is most needed for growing food grains during Rabi.

I agree with the report of John Kerry. The Indian ability to store Rabi water is gradually brewing for nuclear war. India is bent upon creating optimum possible storage on the three Western Rivers and their tributaries using the full potential of the available slope, fall to tail. India is rapidly increasing storage by building more mega dams on the Western Rivers with the intension of creating famine.

The Rabi water requirements of Pakistan at present is about 36 maf. This may further increase. India would store more than this quantity that means to render the irrigation network-- the life-line of Pakistan dry for about 6 months a year. Pakistan will not be able to produce wheat to feed its people. This will create food crises, hunger and famine. This means India has the key to control the life and death of the people of Pakistan by using water as the weapon of mass destruction for genocide purpose.

What would Pakistan do under such famine inflicting situation causing genocide? The consequences would be creation of hunger, famine and death of nation of 180 million populations. The situation is also creating the possibility of nuclear war. This would destroy both Pakistan and India. It will pollute the earth’s environment and damage all neighboring countries who may also join war that may turn into World War Three. It will be the last war by human beings fought on earth. It is therefore of dire necessity that UN, and the Security Council may take up the case of intentional violation of the Treaty to cause genocide. India has not implemented the Treaty honestly. The permanent remedy lies in revising the partition of India by the UN in a way that the control of Pakistan water lies with Pakistan and not India.

The Kashmir dispute is lying with the UN for the last about 63 years unsolved. This must be expedited according to its resolution. Delay in justice creates more crimes. The water issue between Pakistan and India is like “climate change”, as it will affect the entire human beings on earth if nuclear war unfortunately takes place.

Water issue tied to the occupation of Kashmir requires permanent solution

 to avoid nuclear conflict.

The permanent solution to the problem is to re-draw the India Pakistan boundary and nullify the unjust Red Cliff partition, unjustly giving the sources of water flowing into Pakistan, to India including surprisingly the canal head works. This was shear and clear injustice. Kashmir is the Muslim majority area, it must have come to Pakistan. India killed hundred thousands of Kashmiris who demanded freedom from India. India attacked Hydrabad, Junagarh and Manawadar and took over the territory. India has aggressive policy that may one day lead to nuclear war if other nations failed to take suitable action against India.

Silting of replacement storage of about 7.0 maf of Tarbela and Mangla reservoirs requires replenishment to keep continue IWT

The Indus Waters Treaty is based on Tarbela and Mangla reservoirs--the two replacement storage and the link canals built under the IWT. The replacement storage is created in lieu of the perennial water of the three Eastern river diverted by India due to wrong partition. The water from the three Eastern Rivers irrigated areas in Pakistan for centuries. Therefore two replacement storage dams and inter-river link canals were built to transfer water from the three Western River to the area irrigated by the three Eastern Rivers in Pakistan. The silting of reservoirs turned the IWT inefficacious and not workable as there is no replacement storage for diversion in to the link canals to feed the water deprived areas in Pakistan.  There is no storage water for transfer to the area deprived of water by India due to wrong partition. This is yet another set-back that needs settlement. It requires India built a reservoir of 7.0 maf of water in Pakistan to replenish the lost storage on perennial basis. Justice is perennial storage, for perennial canal water. Alternately, India should restore water supply to the deprived area to 1947 position. It is for India to accept any of the two alternatives.

WAPDA obstinacy caused super floods of 2010 and never ending crippling load shedding

WAPDA punished Pakistan for not building the technically infeasible and politically controversial Kalabagh Dam by crippling load shedding and devastating super floods of 2010 that destroyed 22% of Pakistan creating food shortage and high prices of agricultural products. This was in spite of the fact that the feasibility report of Basha Dam was established in 1981. It is after 30 years that Basha is now being taken in hand for construction. WAPDA obstinacy is now shifted to ignore the unique, multipurpose Dam at Katzarah with storage capacity of 35 MAf and power generation potential of 15,000 MW, with additional benefits of flood control and silt control. It is surprising that WAPDA did not pointed out the spectacular Katzarah Dam located about 130 KM on the upstream of Basha Dam on the Indus to the Prime Minister during the groundbreaking of Basha. This shows WAPDA malice towards Katzarah Dam.

Water issue needs peaceful solutions as war is disastrous for both countries

Summing up the whole matter, the following issues are to be solved so that India and Pakistan live in peace with mutual respect and brotherhood.

* Who would replenish the storage lost in Tarbela and Mangla Dams built under the Treaty?

* Pakistan needs perennial storage for perennial canal water diverted by India, as a matter of rights. Alternately,

* if India refuses to build the replacement storage, then Pakistan water rights stays and as such, Eastern Rivers water diverted by India may be released and the canal head works be handed over to Pakistan for water watch and its regulation.

* India has silently started water war to cause famine in Pakistan while Pakistan was asleep.

* John Kerry report and its ensuing consequences may be studied, stating that India has acquired the ability to limit the supply of water at critical moment in the growing season. What would Pakistan do? Basha Dam, after 10 years of its completion, with storage of 6.4 maf, will not be able to make up the storage already lost to silting. Pakistan needs 4 dams of the capacity of Basha Dam by the year 2020. That much storage is not available. WAPDA is severely allergic to the unique 35 maf storage dam at Katzarah, generating 15,000 MW of hydropower, controlling super floods and prevent silt flow from the highly erodible soil of Skardu valley. Katzarah if built will increase the life of Basha Dam from its estimated life of 80 years to 800 years. Let WAPDA inform names of dams, their storage, with power generation, and their feasibility status. IRSA demanded 22 maf of water. Which technically feasible dams would give this much storage? WAPDA should name these dams with storage capacities.

* Pakistan Indus Basin Irrigation system, the largest in the world, will be rendered dry for six month, as India will divert Rabi supplies by holding waters in dozens of reservoirs built by India in occupied Kashmir.

* India created 30 maf of live storage against the allowable of 4.19 maf. It is still creating more storage as mega dams are being built. The live storage may exceed 40 maf of Rabi season water. Pakistan is silent on this for being unaware.

* The matter may be taken up with the United Nations for violation of human rights. All humans are entitled to breath air, drink water and eat food. No one has the right to deny food and water. The water issue needs immediate solution to avoid nuclear war. One can do anything in self defense when aggressor attacks you to starve and die.

 * Kashmir issue must be settled immediately as it is 63 years old dispute and is related to water issue. Justice delayed is justice denied and that may lead to nuclear conflict.

*Wrong  partition of India be corrected and re-done. The sources of its water must be with Pakistan to avoid nuclear war. Occupied Kashmir is the hydraulic unit of the Indus basin Irrigation System. It cannot be separated.

* India has planned 12 dams on Kabul River for Afghanistan. Pakistan has no water treaty with Afghanistan. Khalid Aziz former Chief Secretary NWFP has prepared in great details vital technical information for Water Treaty with Afghanistan more than two years ago. Ministry of Water and Power may take action why such a treaty is delayed.

* What would happen to Water Accord? How would IRSA manage about 36 maf of water for the Rabi crop growing season? Who would plan to meet this shortage? IRSA or WAPDA or any other authority. Some members of IRSA claim that IRSA is only responsible to regulate and distribute available water and nothing more than that. This opinion needs clarification to define the responsibilities of IRSA under para 13 of the Water Accord. On the other hand, WAPDA is incapable to handle storage dams. IRSA services must be used after the clarification of para 13 of the Water Accord. Who would create storage to meet the demand of para 2, and implement paras 4, 5, 7, and para 14(e) of the Water Accord? Names of storage dams, their storage capacities, their feasibility status, and estimated life span may be announced by the planner.

* Government of Pakistan must take water storage issue in the light of IWT and John Kerry report with India and the United Nations.  Pakistan must ask for the exact numbers of dams already built, under construction, and proposed to be built, from India, indicating their gross storage, live storage and dead storage to know the relevant data as required by the Treaty.

* Pakistan should propose some joint arrangement with India to ensure and release the established and rightful share of water flowing to Pakistan without interruption. It is necessary not to interrupt the supply of water to Pakistan at the critical moment in the growing season. This is in the interest of peace and the rights on water of Pakistan’s share.

Emergency steps by Pakistan to create storage, avoid all wastage of water and mitigate Indian interruption of the supply of water at critical moment in the growing season

It is direly essential that Pakistan must build Katzarah Dam, Guroh Dop Dam, Mirkhani Dam and the Raised barrage-cum-low dam at the tail end of the Indus River on war footings as already suggested by me.

Thanks to John Kerry for finding true facts about the Indus Waters Treaty while Pakistan was asleep. His findings have great meanings and consequences that clearly states that “India has acquired the ability to store enough water to limit the supply of water to Pakistan at critical moments in the growing season”. The report of John Kerry is information to the United States Senate of the consequences of such development that may lead to water war. Pakistan is still sleeping as it took no action on John Kerry report. I foresee food crisis is rapidly approaching. Water shortage and food shortage would add to power shortage. This will create bloody revolution in Pakistan. We have watched riots on power shortage, but riots on food shortage will be in the form of bloody revolution. India wants all this, as it has acquired the ability to do so. Pakistan must build Dams as proposed by me in this do or die situation. It is shocking WAPDA could not build the second dam on the Indus in 47 years, (37+10) as Basha will be completed in 10 years. God save Pakistan and its people from multiple crises. The future is gloomy and disastrous.